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Mathematical Modelling of Wind Damage Risk to Forests

Mathematical Modelling of Wind Damage Risk to Forests

27-30 October 2015 Arcachon, France

Wednesday 28 October 2015

8:30 am - 8:40 am : Barry Gardiner

Welcome and Introduction

8:40 am - 12:30 pm : AIRFLOW AND FORESTS (Chair : Yves Brunet)

8:40 - 9:00  Using LES and Wind tunnel modelling in a risk based approach to forest wind damage - John Finnigan

9:00 - 9:20  Linking models from global to forest-scales - Ned Patton

9:20 - 9:40  Measurement and modeling of the wind field at a forest edge - Ebba Dellwik

9:40 - 10:00  Edge flow in an inhomogeneous canopy - Louis-Etienne Boudreault

10:00 - 10:40  Impact of landscape fragmentation on airflow: wind-tunnel measurements and LES validation - Christopher Poette

10:40 - 11:10  Statistical modeling of turbulent wind velocity at canopy top: application to forest wind damage - Sylvain Dupont

10:40 - 11:10  Coffee

11:10 - 12:30  Discussion - Yves Brunet (chair)
                    1. User requirements
                    2. Available Tools/models/data
                    3. Gaps in understanding/tools/data
                    4. Barriers to progress
                    5. Recommendations

2:00 pm - 5:30 pm : WIND AND TREE INTERACTION (Chair : John Moore)

14:00 - 14:20  The role of highly-resolved gust speed in simulations of storm damage in forests at the landscape scale : A case study from Southwest Germany - Christopher Jung

14:20 - 14:40  Tree wind load modelling. Quasi-static or dynamic? - Barry Gardiner

14:40 - 15:10  Tree acclimation to wind : how trees sense the chronic winds - Vivien Bonnesoeur

15:10 - 15:40  Coffee

15:40 - 17:30  Discussion - John Moore (chair)

                    1. User requirements
                    2. Available Tools/models/data
                    3. Gaps in understanding/tools/data
                    4. Barriers to progress
                    5. Recommendations

Thursday 29 October 2015

9:00 am - 12:30 pm : TREE MECHANICS (Chair : Jean-Claude Ruel)

9:00 - 9:20  Mechanical behaviour of young radiata pine trees under applied loading - John Moore

9:20 - 9:40  Terrestrial LiDAR and wind modelling in Wytham Woods, Oxford - Tobias Jackson

9:40 - 10:00  Root architecture and anchorage: what we learned from maritime pine on sandy soils in the Landes forest - Frederic Danjon

10:00 - 10:20  Modelling tree anchorage: Applications to maritime pine - Ming Yang

10:20 - 10:40  Influence of root properties on resistance to overturning - Pauline Defossez

10:40 - 11:10  Coffee

11:10 - 12:30 Discussion - Jean-Claude Ruel (chair)

                    1. User requirements
                    2. Available Tools/models/data
                    3. Gaps in understanding/tools/data
                    4. Barriers to progress
                    5. Recommendations

2:00 pm - 6:30 pm : MODELLING WIND DAMAGE RISK (Chair : Ebba Dellwik)

14:00 - 14:20  Transferability of statistical and mechanistic models –synthesis of some methodological aspects - Axel Albrecht

14:20 - 14:40  Implementing WINDA-GALES in R - Kristina Blennow

14:40 - 15:10  Developing a method of wind damage risk assessment - Kana Kamimura

15:10 - 15:30  ForestGALES in Capsis: a new library in JAVA - Celine Meredieu

15:30 - 16:00  Machine learning for prediction and classification in forestry - Emma Hart

16:00 - 16:30  Coffee

16:30 - 16:50  Predicting wind damage risks to forests from stand to regional level using mechanistic wind risk model HWIND - Veli-Pekka Ikonen

16:50 - 17:10  Modelling windthrow in old-growth stands: quality of inputs - Jean-Claude Ruel

17:10 - 18:30  Discussion - Ebba Dellwik (chair)

                     1. User requirements
                     2. Available Tools/models/data
                     3. Gaps in understanding/tools/data
                     4. Barriers to progress
                     5. Recommendations

Friday 30 October 2015

8:30 am - 12:30 pm : APPLICATION OF RISK MODELS (Chair : Kristina Blennow)

8:30 - 8:50  ForestGALES applications for the GB Forestry Sector - Stephen Bathgate

8:50 - 9:10  Effects of large scale storm damage to forests on a European scale - can we get that far? - Marc Hanewinkel

9:10 - 9:30  Investigating the main drivers of the variation in the outputs of ForestGALES with variance-based sensitivity analysis - the case of Sitka Spruce - Tommaso Locatelli

9:30 - 9:50  Dynamic wind susceptibility maps using landscape modelling tool in 100000ha maritime pine area of Aquitaine - Christophe Orazio

9:50 - 10:10  Modelling storm damage to forests in land-surface models: challenges - Ferenc Pasztor

10:10 - 10:30  Integrating a wind-model within the iLand-simulation model - Werner Rammer

10:30 - 10:50  Modelling multiple risks at the European scale, the way ahead - Mart-Jan Schelhaas

10:50 - 11:20  Coffee

11:30 - 12:30  Discussion - Kristina Blennow (chair)

                     1. User requirements
                     2. Available Tools/models/data
                     3. Gaps in understanding/tools/data
                     4. Barriers to progress
                     5. Recommendations

2:00 pm - 4:00 pm : REPORTING (Chair : Barry Gardiner)